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Thinking in Bets

Deep Work · Track 6

Thinking in Bets

Jazz-Pop, Neo-Soul · Sultry, cerebral, quietly urgent

Annie Duke · This will make you a better decision-maker | Annie Duke

decision-makingprobabilityquitting
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“There is no such thing as a long feedback loop. And the way you choose to shorten the feedback loop is to say, what are the things that are correlated with the outcome that I eventually desire?”- Annie Duke

The Story Behind This Song

Annie Duke told Lenny that when VCs claimed their feedback loops were a decade long, she challenged them: 'Do you invest and then go to sleep like Rip Van Winkle?' After five years at First Round Capital, she helped them build structured decision rubrics. The bridge tells Stewart Butterfield's story — he built Glitch for years, did the math, and wrote to investors with 'dead certainty that Glitch was over.' Two days later he pivoted to Slack.

Lyrics

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This will make you a better decision-maker | Annie Duke
Annie DukePodcast

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